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ICYMI: Markets Haven’t Priced In The End of Fiscal Tailwinds
We Discuss:
🔶 Entering a contractionary fiscal impulse
🔶 Why QRA threw cold water, not gasoline
🔶 Fed leadership vacuum & September pivot odds
🔶 Why long bonds still can’t catch a bid
🔶 Stablecoin myths & marginal buyers of T-bills
@dampedspring @fejau_inc
Timestamps:
00:00 Introduction
01:59 Fed Takeaways
09:42 VanEck AD
10:28 What Happens When Powell Leaves?
16:49 Treasury QRA Breakdown
22:24 Impact of Treasury Buybacks
26:27 TGA Rebuild & Liquidity
29:19 Fed Balance Sheet & Reinvestment Policy
30:23 VanEck Ad
31:03 Fed Balance Sheet & Reinvestment Policy
44:19 Tracking the Economic Data
51:03 Financial Conditions vs Growth
52:28 Making Sense of Market Pricing
57:06 Short vs Long Rates
59:09 Net Impact of Stablecoins
1:10:47 Final Thoughts
Links Below ↓
Apple 🎙️:
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YouTube 🎥:
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